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Jesús Luzardo

Philadelphia Phillies

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Toronto Blue Jays

03:07 PM

Jun 5, 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) behind the plate today.

As a result of his large platoon split, Jesus Luzardo will have a tough matchup being matched up with 9 bats in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today's game.

Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The Toronto Blue Jays have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-ed balls. Their 15.8° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (#5 overall).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching skill ranks in the 89th percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jesus Luzardo was in good form in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

Jesus Luzardo's slider rate has spiked by 6.9% from last year to this one (29.2% to 36.1%) .

Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo's fastball velocity of 95.7 mph grades out in the 88th percentile this year.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jesus Luzardo in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

Compared to the average starter, Jesus Luzardo has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.9 adjusted pitches each start.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

In his previous game started, Jesus Luzardo was rolling and compiled 11 strikeouts.

Jesus Luzardo's slider rate has spiked by 6.9% from last year to this one (29.2% to 36.1%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.9% underlying K%.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) behind the plate today.

As a result of his large platoon split, Jesus Luzardo will have a tough matchup being matched up with 9 bats in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today's game.

Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Given the 0.35 discrepancy between Jesus Luzardo's 10.36 K/9 and his 10.02 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -147

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching skill ranks in the 89th percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

Compared to the average starter, Jesus Luzardo has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.9 adjusted pitches each start.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jesus Luzardo was in good form in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

Jesus Luzardo's slider rate has spiked by 6.9% from last year to this one (29.2% to 36.1%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) behind the plate today.

As a result of his large platoon split, Jesus Luzardo will have a tough matchup being matched up with 9 bats in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today's game.

Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The Toronto Blue Jays have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-ed balls. Their 15.8° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (#5 overall).

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Jesús Luzardo Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (101)
ov 5.5 (-145)
un 5.5 (100)
-
ov 5.5 (-145)
un 5.5 (100)
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (105)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-147)
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-130)
-
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-140)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-141)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (102)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (105)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (123)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-162)
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (107)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (110)

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MLB Player Props Jesús Luzardo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds