Texas Rangers vs Washington Nationals Pick – 6/8/2025

As the Washington Nationals prepare to face the Texas Rangers on June 8, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season, holding records of 30-34 and 30-35, respectively. This Interleague matchup comes on the heels of the Nationals and Rangers battling it out to a split in the first two games of this series.

Trevor Williams is slated to start for the Nationals, coming off a disappointing season with a Win/Loss record of 3-6 and an alarming 6.03 ERA. However, advanced stats suggest that he may have been unlucky, as his 4.21 xFIP indicates better potential moving forward. Williams, a right-handed pitcher, will face off against Jake Latz, a lefty who has also struggled, with an ERA of 2.95 but a 3.93 xFIP that suggests he might be due for a downturn. Both pitchers are in the bottom tier of the league according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, with Williams ranked #229 and Latz among the worst.

At the plate, the Nationals have been pedestrian offensively, ranking 17th in MLB, while the Rangers sit at the bottom of the league at 30th. Washington has shown flashes with its power, albeit ranking just 21st in home runs. The Rangers, despite their overall struggles, boast a solid 9th place in stolen bases, which could present challenges for the Nationals' pitching staff.

With the Nationals’ bullpen ranked 10th in the league, they may have an edge in late-game situations. The projections suggest a competitive matchup, and with the Nationals positioned as underdogs with a moneyline of +120, they may offer value for bettors seeking to capitalize on their potential upside. The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for a higher-scoring affair.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor Williams.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

Trevor Williams's 87-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.8-mph decrease from last year's 88.8-mph figure.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The Washington Nationals projected offense projects as the 4th-weakest of all teams on the slate today in of overall offensive skill.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+7.53 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 53 games (+18.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Texas Rangers vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Texas Rangers 4.96, Washington Nationals 4.36

• Date: June 8, 2025
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jake Latz - Rangers
  • Trevor Williams - Nationals

Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.