Heat ML (+100) over Warriors
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- Miami could have Kevin Love back for this game after he has missed some time due to injury of late.
- Miami ranks fourth in the NBA in points per game allowed and their defense will make things tough on the ing cast of Steph Curry in this matchup.
The Golden State Warriors will face off with the Miami Heat in NBA action on March 26, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Golden State Warriors as 2.5 point favorites on the road.
The opening total of 216.5 has prompted 9% of bets to the under and 91% of bets to the over.
Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.
Look for the Miami Heat to win this Warriors vs Heat matchup from South Florida on Tuesday night. The Heat are missing a couple of key players in Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson going into this contest. But the Heat should be able to overcome that thanks to their stellar defense, which ranks fourth in the NBA in points per game allowed. While it is impossible to completely stifle Steph Curry, the Heat will make things difficult on him, and even tougher on the rest of the players around Curry.
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NBA
Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| GS | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 41.2 | FG | 42.3 |
| 91.4 | FGA | 90.9 |
| .451 | FG% | .466 |
| 15.6 | 3Pt-FG | 14.0 |
| 42.8 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.9 |
| .364 | 3Pt% | .360 |
| 25.6 | 2Pt-FG | 28.3 |
| 48.5 | 2Pt-FGA | 52.0 |
| .528 | 2Pt% | .545 |
| 17.0 | FT | 14.3 |
| 22.3 | FTA | 18.4 |
| .764 | FT% | .776 |
| 12.7 | ORB | 11.0 |
| 33.2 | DRB | 34.8 |
| 45.9 | TRB | 45.8 |
| 29.4 | AST | 27.2 |
| 9.5 | STL | 7.7 |
| 4.8 | BLK | 4.8 |
| 14.2 | TOV | 14.2 |
| 19.4 | PF | 17.4 |
| 115.0 | PTS | 112.9 |
Defense/Offense
| GS | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 40.9 | FG | 41.5 |
| 87.8 | FGA | 89.3 |
| .465 | FG% | .465 |
| 13.3 | 3Pt-FG | 14.1 |
| 36.7 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.3 |
| .363 | 3Pt% | .367 |
| 27.6 | 2Pt-FG | 27.5 |
| 51.2 | 2Pt-FGA | 51.0 |
| .539 | 2Pt% | .538 |
| 16.6 | FT | 16.4 |
| 21.6 | FTA | 20.7 |
| .769 | FT% | .791 |
| 10.7 | ORB | 10.0 |
| 33.8 | DRB | 34.5 |
| 44.5 | TRB | 44.5 |
| 26.1 | AST | 27.1 |
| 7.7 | STL | 8.4 |
| 5.4 | BLK | 3.9 |
| 15.9 | TOV | 13.9 |
| 18.8 | PF | 16.0 |
| 111.7 | PTS | 113.5 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| GS | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .536 | eFG% | .543 |
| 12.3 | TOV% | 12.5 |
| 27.3 | RB% | 75.8 |
| .187 | FT/FGA | .157 |
Defense/Offense
| GS | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .541 | eFG% | .544 |
| 14.1 | TOV% | 12.4 |
| 75.6 | RB% | 22.3 |
| .189 | FT/FGA | .183 |
Analytics
| GS | Analytics | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Pythag Wins | 42 |
| 33 | Pythag Losses | 40 |
| 3.30 | Margin Of Victory | 0.56 |
| 115.0 | O Rtg | 113.5 |
| 111.7 | D Rtg | 112.9 |
| 98.7 | Pace | 96.2 |
| .244 | FTr | .232 |
| .469 | 3PAr | .429 |
| .568 | TS% | .576 |
Betting Trends
| GS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 119.33 | Avg Score | 105.33 |
| 117.67 | Avg Opp Score | 99.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 112.33 | Avg Score | 99 |
| 114.67 | Avg Opp Score | 98.33 |
| GS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 119.6 | Avg Score | 102.2 |
| 118.6 | Avg Opp Score | 99.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 107.4 | Avg Score | 104.6 |
| 117.2 | Avg Opp Score | 103 |
| GS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 116.9 | Avg Score | 102.3 |
| 114.5 | Avg Opp Score | 102.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 115.9 | Avg Score | 108.7 |
| 114.6 | Avg Opp Score | 104.7 |
