The Chicago Sky visit Brooklyn for what should be an interesting matchup between one of the best teams in the WNBA and one of the worst. Here, we break down this matchup from all angles and make our Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty prediction as part of our WNBA betting picks for Tuesday night.
Our Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Pick
- Spread: Liberty –16
- Total: Under 168
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 10, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty –16 | NYL −2000 / CHI +1000 | 168 |
Key Storylines
- Chicago lost veteran floor leader Courtney Vandersloot to a season‑ending ACL tear over the weekend, dropping them to 2–5 and hampering their ball movement and clutch execution.
- Ariel Atkins, Angel Reese, and rookie Kamilla Cardoso will be among those to bear extra load in Vandersloot’s absence.
- New York remains unbeaten at 8–0, though star forward Jonquel Jones is questionable to play in this game due to an ankle injury, which could make life tougher on them here.
- Coach Brondello will likely rely heavily on Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu to cover for Jones if she’s limited.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Liberty dominated the first meeting between these teams this season, winning 99-74 in Chicago on May 22.
- Chicago is struggling on the road this season, going 1-3 away from home for the year.
- The Sky are 3-4 against the spread so far this season, while the Liberty are 5-3 against the spread.
- Over/unders have been split for the Liberty this year, as they have gone 4-4 on them, while the Sky are 5-2 to the over on the season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | Over 17.5 Points | Ionescu is averaging 17.3 points and firing threes. Expect her to push higher against a lackluster Sky defense. |
| Angel Reese | Under 12.5 Rebounds | New York’s physicality will make life tougher than usual for the gifted rebounder. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- New York leads the league in offensive and defensive rating, while Chicago is bottom‑three in both offense and defensive rating.
- The Liberty’s offense thrives on high pick-and-roll sets, while Chicago lacks veteran ball‑handling initiate their offense with Vandersloot out.
- Rebounding battle: The rebounding averages for these teams are almost dead even, with the Sky averaging 36.7 boards per game and the Liberty at 36.5. If Chicago can win on the glass, they could hang around.
Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Model Prediction
Score Projection: Chicago Sky 72 – New York Liberty 90
Win Probability: Chicago Sky 15%, New York Liberty 85%
Final Thoughts
The Sky enter Brooklyn reeling without Vandersloot, and while Reese and Atkins will lead a valiant fight, they lack the firepower and cohesion to hang with New York. The defending champions are clicking on all fronts and should dominate the tempo and paint. For those making WNBA betting picks, expect an efficient Liberty win and the game to stay under the point total.
