The Minnesota Lynx head to Seattle on Wednesday night, in a game with massive Western Conference implications. Minnesota looks to stay unbeaten, while the Storm look to stay above .500 for the season with a win. Continue reading to get our Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm prediction for a game loaded with star power on both sides.
Our Minnesota vs Seattle Pick
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx –4.5
- Total: Under 156.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 • 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington
- Broadcast: WNBA League
| Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota –4.5 | Minnesota –200 / Seattle +165 | 156.5 |
Key Storylines
- Injury Report: Seattle continues without Katie Lou Samuelson and Jordan Horston (both ACLs), limiting depth and wing scoring options. Minnesota remains healthy going into this matchup.
- Napheesa Collier’s Dominance: Collier is scorching early, averaging 25.5 PPG on 52.5% shooting and spearheading Minnesota’s efficient offense.
- Home Court Reset: The Storm have a winning record at home this season at 3-2, but they face a Lynx team that hasn’t lost at home or on the road yet this season.
- Playoff Implications: Minnesota is looking to keep pace with the also-undefeated New York Liberty in the standings, while the Storm look to remain in the top-six in the WNBA standings.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Minnesota won the first game of the season series between these teams, beating Seattle 82-77 at home in late May.
- Despite being 9-0 straight up this season, the Lynx are just 4-5 against the spread in 2025.
- Seattle is 5-4 against the spread on the year.
- Total Trends: Both teams have seen the majority of their games stay under the total. Minnesota is 6-3 to the under so far this year, while the Storm are 5-4 on unders.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 30+ Points | Collier is around +400 to score 30 points in this game and has proven herself more than capable of doing so this season. |
| Skylar Diggins | Over 5.5 Assists | Leading Seattle’s offense and averaging 6.4 APG, she’ll need to orchestrate if the Storm wants a shot. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota ranks second in the WNBA in offensive rating so far this year, while the Storm are sixth in that department.
- Both of these teams rank in the top-five in opponent effective field goal percentage, meaning both teams will have to earn every bucket they get.
- Pace: These teams play with the two slowest paces in the WNBA heading into this matchup.
- Mismatch: Collier was held to 16 points against Seattle in their first meeting this season, but Courtney Williams had a field day against Seattle’s guards.
Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm Model Prediction
Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 80 – Seattle Storm 74
Win Probability: Minnesota 71%, Seattle 29%
Final Thoughts
Minnesota brings superior shooting, form, and health into Seattle’s building, while the Storm are struggling with consistent execution and depth. Expect Collier and Williams to put on a show, leading to an efficient offense that controls tempo for Minnesota. I recommend locking in the Lynx and enjoying the action on Wednesday night.
